McCain Drops Out?
Last Sunday, the Huffington Post published an article entitled: “When McCain Drops Out,” by Steve Rosenbaum.
I’ve suspected something like that would happen, but felt that it was my suspicious nature working overtime. The following are excerpts from Mr. Rosenbaum’s article:
“When the Republicans choose their candidate on September 4th, there is a very real chance that they could throw the election into an unexpected chaos as they pull a genuine September Surprise.
“I think there is every reason to believe John McCain won’t ...be the Republican candidate in November. Here’s how it could happen:
“At some point in mid August, John McCain will announce that he has decided that he can not accept his party’s nomination for president. The reason will be health-related, and that may turn out to be the truth.... But excuses or facts hardly matters. He won’t be accepting his party’s nomination.
“The reasons are simple. He can’t win. Now that Obama is the presumptive Democratic nominee -- the polls all show that McCain’s pro-war stance and Bush endorsement make him a lost cause in November. That combined with soft stand on litmus test conservative issues make him an unpopular candidate among the base. I know some Democrats that think the Republicans are planning to let McCain lose and ‘sit this one out’ so that they can hang the democrats with a bad economy and a war that is a morass. But that just isn’t how they play. They play to win every hand -- think about 2000 with a popular Democratic president and good economy and a solid VP running for president. Why did they put up Bush? And why did they fight so hard? Because, you don’t ever throw a game. And they’re not going to throw this one. McCain won’t be the nominee.
“By August, they’ll have done something to try and pick away at Obama’s popularity. They’ll emphasis race, or whatever they can to get him to appear less than perfect. Then, they’ll bring out of the woodwork a surprise candidate who can shift the story fast. With just two months before the election -- the new candidate will have little time to be ‘vetted’ but will be shiny and new, and will get a lot of media attention as Obama’s newness will have become -- by then -- tarnished or at least no longer the surprise that it has been as he unseated Hillary.
“Joe Trippi, campaign consultant and most notably Howard Dean’s campaign manager, said of McCain dropping out: ‘While crazy, this may be the best shot they have.’”
***** This doesn't mean that I'll be letting up on McCain. Rosenbaum and I could be wrong, but it's fun to speculate.
I’ve suspected something like that would happen, but felt that it was my suspicious nature working overtime. The following are excerpts from Mr. Rosenbaum’s article:
“When the Republicans choose their candidate on September 4th, there is a very real chance that they could throw the election into an unexpected chaos as they pull a genuine September Surprise.
“I think there is every reason to believe John McCain won’t ...be the Republican candidate in November. Here’s how it could happen:
“At some point in mid August, John McCain will announce that he has decided that he can not accept his party’s nomination for president. The reason will be health-related, and that may turn out to be the truth.... But excuses or facts hardly matters. He won’t be accepting his party’s nomination.
“The reasons are simple. He can’t win. Now that Obama is the presumptive Democratic nominee -- the polls all show that McCain’s pro-war stance and Bush endorsement make him a lost cause in November. That combined with soft stand on litmus test conservative issues make him an unpopular candidate among the base. I know some Democrats that think the Republicans are planning to let McCain lose and ‘sit this one out’ so that they can hang the democrats with a bad economy and a war that is a morass. But that just isn’t how they play. They play to win every hand -- think about 2000 with a popular Democratic president and good economy and a solid VP running for president. Why did they put up Bush? And why did they fight so hard? Because, you don’t ever throw a game. And they’re not going to throw this one. McCain won’t be the nominee.
“By August, they’ll have done something to try and pick away at Obama’s popularity. They’ll emphasis race, or whatever they can to get him to appear less than perfect. Then, they’ll bring out of the woodwork a surprise candidate who can shift the story fast. With just two months before the election -- the new candidate will have little time to be ‘vetted’ but will be shiny and new, and will get a lot of media attention as Obama’s newness will have become -- by then -- tarnished or at least no longer the surprise that it has been as he unseated Hillary.
“Joe Trippi, campaign consultant and most notably Howard Dean’s campaign manager, said of McCain dropping out: ‘While crazy, this may be the best shot they have.’”
***** This doesn't mean that I'll be letting up on McCain. Rosenbaum and I could be wrong, but it's fun to speculate.
posted by Jim O'Leary | 12:00 AM
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