Mind and Destiny

"It is our duty, all of us, everyone who cares to reverse the national decline of our knowledge and understanding of history, and to renew a true appreciation of this great country, why it became great and what will keep it so." -- Sen. Robert Byrd

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Name: Jim O'Leary
Location: Delhi, N.Y., United States

The author and his webmaster, summer of 1965.

Thursday, August 23, 2007

“Get Out Now!”

Retired Army Lt. General William Odom stated that the surge was sold as a strategy when in fact it was a tactic to pack a lot of troops into the Baghdad area. The rest of the country is pretty much left open to the insurgents to stir up things where they want to. What you’re seeing there will be repeated even if things were to level out between the Sunnis and the Shiites. You’ll see even more bloody violence, between the Kurds and the Arabs, when they decide to fight over the oil in Kirkuk.

You’re seeing the Iranians put in lots of capabilities, because they’re preparing to raise the heat higher if we attack them. Gen. Odom doesn’t see any reason for optimism whatsoever. This has never been done in an Arab country before successfully. The idea that there’s any historical precedent for coming out of this with a regime that will be pro U.S. and consolidated, just boggles the mind. Furthermore, it will take a violent revolution to stabilize Iraq. We’d have to side with the Sunnis against the Shiites, let them win, repress the Kurds, and get out.

Iraqi people on the street believe that their government is utterly useless, ineffective and does not have the best interests of the nation at heart. Iraqis want to see some sort of political progress. Anything to happen to get them out of their current way of life, but there is very little faith in this current government. Nothing is happening in Iraq politically, and until that begins to change, the nation is not going to move forward.

Sunni insurgents have come over to the American side, but that is more the result of an al Qaeda failure rather than America developing an ability to win over Sunni hearts and minds. Odom believes that the United States is laying down the building blocks for what many people are calling an inevitable civil war. On the one side you’ll have the U.S. and the Sunnis and on the other side, you’re going to have the Shiites backed by Iran.

A soft partition concept has been suggested, whereby they establish three autonomous regions, but it’s not very likely to be attempted. Another way is to stay long enough with 50,000 to 75,000 forces, in the highly charged areas to prevent violence. It’s would mean a sustained American presence, but no immediate withdraw not even in the next couple years.

General Odom points out that we’re sitting on a civil war and we’re participating on one side and then the other. There is going to be violence and we need to get out and let the civil war come to its logical conclusion with one side winning. We started the civil war, by getting rid of Saddam, who kept order. Once we got rid of Saddam, there was no way to prevent a civil war from occurring.

In 2005, Odom said; “If Bush wants to bring democracy and stability to the Middle East, the only way to achieve that goal is for the our armed forces to get out of Iraq now.”

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